On 25 October, Serbia’s Student List won an outright parliamentary majority with 53.7 per cent of valid votes, against 39.5 per cent for Aleksandar Vučić’s United Serbia list, according to the RIK’s preliminary count.
Where did that majority come from? Our survey suggests that the answer lies mainly with voters outside the SNS base, although defections from the ruling parties also played a part.
In the 36 hours before polling stations opened, our team at Latenta, a London-based polling and market research agency, surveyed 1,189 voters recruited through online panels. To reach pensioners, who are poorly represented in online surveys, we added a proxy survey: 68 respondents and their acquaintances reported the voting intentions of 134 pensioners they knew personally.
